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Will Toronto's housing market go up or down?

Will Toronto's housing market go up or down in the next 12 months? Please give your reasons.

Personally, I see two main driving forces moving in opposite directions which more or less cancels out, thus leaving the market relatively stagnant.

Firstly, with the economy in shambles, the real estate market should suffer as well. Expect to see increase of mortgage defaults, people downsizing their home, and the trend of working from home allowing people to move out of Toronto's core. All this portends to more sellers than buyers leading to a slump in average home prices.

On the other hand, with excess liquidity due to federal government desperate to prop up the economy, quantitative easing, too much hot money driving equities markets to insanely overpriced levels, and near zero rates on money markets, it seems there just isn't many safe places to invest our money. In times like these, real estate is a safe conservative choice (if you are risk taker you can speculate on gold or Bitcoin). So we can see increased investment into Toronto's real estate sector driving up prices.

Based on these 2 factors, I foresee the housing market staying relatively stable in the foreseeable future.


Lets hear your thoughts!

吃瓜灌水
20条评论
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天下无双
如果不移民投资加拿大房产没意思
2020-09-07 02:38:44
aznclem
any good location to invest in? looking to purchase for myself.. but everything is so inflated...
2020-11-02 18:02:55
Jacksplat
Kingston real estate has ballooned in the last 3 years. I expect the demand to continue. For the last 2 years houses going to the market have sold within the first month, and often the first week of being listed and for much more than the price from recent years.

This is an answer to the question from the previous poster.
2020-12-22 10:37:41
GetUSomeOrange
现在的楼花价格过于膨胀了

似乎是在高点
2020-12-22 10:45:27
Jacksplat
The high point hasn't been reached. The truth is we have enough buyers who are able and willing to pay the inflated prices to have what they want. There are far too many opportunities out there keeping the economy growing.
2020-12-23 17:41:07
tomatoknight
i think should go up soon
2021-03-20 10:03:52
zerowingw
it will going up again soon
after all open up or close down
2021-03-26 13:16:59
Nooby_newbie
zerowingw 发表于 2021-3-26 17:16
it will going up again soon
after all open up or close down

May I ask why it will still go up if everything's closed down?
2021-03-31 11:52:42
zerowingw
cuz when closed down
the house open source will be not a lot
especially the agent will doing something on the offer (both side) which make the prices so high
2021-03-31 12:31:33
Nooby_newbie
zerowingw 发表于 2021-3-31 16:31
cuz when closed down
the house open source will be not a lot
especially the agent will doing someth ...

But during lockdowns, there are much less people renting rooms or houses. And people are earning less, or at least not more than the time when everything's open. Only with what the agents are doing, in my opinion, the price can't go much further.
2021-03-31 20:29:17
zerowingw
Nooby_newbie 发表于 2021-4-1 01:29
But during lockdowns, there are much less people renting rooms or houses. And people are earning l ...

is you got the point too
but as u can see i try to get a fight the offer on march 2020 when that time covid 19 happen
and the prices went so crazy i cant even get the offer cuz the agent
2021-04-01 11:05:10
Nooby_newbie
zerowingw 发表于 2021-4-1 15:05
is you got the point too
but as u can see i try to get a fight the offer on march 2020 when that t ...

There were billions of dollars(40+ billion CAD) flowing into Canada from Hong Kong last year, due to what happened there. I think that's why the price of house kept rising even after Covid showed up. After they pushed up the housing market, more and more people joined as they saw the price go up. It will come to an end in a near future (1-2 years imo) since the economy doesn't show strength matched with that.
2021-04-01 13:29:20
DDDaniel
I wish it goes up slowly and healthy, not like rush to the moon in 2,3 months which creats bubble..then once the bubble explode.. market will face an earthquake
2021-04-06 18:11:57
gto100
Prices keep going up, dont think it will go down
2021-06-29 03:57:17
paboe
Just like the stock market, in the long run it always goes up. But in the short run, anything is possible.
2021-06-29 13:15:51
gto100
True, feels like by standers or people waiting for the crash will need to buy at higher prices even when house prices do drop in the short term
2021-06-29 19:15:28
saitou2
short to medium.. down

long term every tier 1 global city will only go up
2023-08-18 06:57:42
model3
我觉得应该会上升只是慢了点。除非政府能够让所有大城市的发展平均一点,不然加拿大永远只有那两三个适合居住跟就业的城市。地方大但是所有人都挤在同一个地方结果只能是房价上涨。
2023-10-03 09:19:00
rpm6969
condo has fallen down quite a bit
too much supply with high interest rates

long term real estate in toronto will be fine. Toronto is a very desirable place to live. Right now or near the future will be great time to pick up some good cheap real esateif you got alot of cash

i seen some crazy deals lately.

2023-10-27 03:12:41
skirm128
it will continue to go up.
2024-03-25 06:07:56
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